One thing I find striking in the discourse between AI 2040 and its detractors is that the two seem to be locked in to totally incompatible worldviews of how fast and how much of a big deal AI progress is: * In AI 2040, every scenario sees superintelligence of some kind emerging

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1. #1

   My third (and last) post in my series on obfuscation (iO): local mixing https://t.co/Du1c052w1Z Local mixing is a very different philosophy from the other two, no prior background…

   vitalik.ethvitalik.eth @VitalikButerin · 2026-08-21
2. #2

   Bitcoiners deserve a lot of credit for pioneering many of these ideas (see Utreexo). But yes, this is what the current proposed Ethereum scaling strategy looks like in action. We…

   vitalik.ethvitalik.eth @VitalikButerin · 2026-08-16
3. #3

   Impressive work! For comparison, an H100 can do roughly 100-200 tok/s of Muse 30B for raw inference single-thread, going up to low thousands of tok/s with a large number of thread…

   vitalik.ethvitalik.eth @VitalikButerin · 2026-08-11
4. #4

   Yabloko, Russia's only remaining openly anti-war political party, was just banned. https://t.co/mMHe58XYX1 Also recently, Nadezhdin (from a different party) had to flee to France:…

   vitalik.ethvitalik.eth @VitalikButerin · 2026-08-10
5. #5

   I updated my 2023 roadmap diagram to overlay where the items that were there sit in the current Strawmap ( https://t.co/9deLIQWG24 ). In general, a lot of overlap, but: * Some thi…

   vitalik.ethvitalik.eth @VitalikButerin · 2026-08-10

   
6. #6

   Minimax H3 is the first *open* video model I've seen that outperforms HunyuanVideo 1.5 - which is actually an impressive accomplishment for @TencentHunyuan to have held that thron…

   vitalik.ethvitalik.eth @VitalikButerin · 2026-08-07

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