【2026.7.8】当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾继续加深的裂痕这四张比价图非常精准抓住了当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾：狭窄领导（narrow leadership）下的极端市场结构，正在与配置端的悄然调整形成背离；左图：用整体SPX和其股息贵族指数来用于观察市场的防御/进攻配置左下图中棕色线（S&P 500

付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon · 2026-07-07

【2026.7.8】当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾继续加深的裂痕这四张比价图非常精准抓住了当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾：狭窄领导（narrow leadership）下的极端市场结构，正在与配置端的悄然…

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#1
6月24日开始不断飙升的英伟达的信用违约掉期CDS开始被市场注意到，去年年底大家都在讨论的“左手倒右手”的玩法开始被质疑，犹如上周谷歌的资本支出背后关注FCF一样：前几年市场信心十足的时候，花钱（自由现金流下降）意味着抢占未来，而现在反而越是烧钱花钱越是意味着担忧；在前几年市场信心十足的时
付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon · 2026-07-28
#2
【2026.5.15】The difference between the implied volatility of 1-month 25-delta put and call options on US tech stocks (i.e., option skewness) has decreased significantly (bottom rig…
付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon · 2026-05-15
#3
【2026.5.15】 In the chart, the blue line represents the ratio of the CBOE S&P 500 Risk Reversal Index (RXM SM Index) to the S&P 500 Index, the brown line represents the Cap…
付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon · 2026-05-15
#4
Without too much explanation, everything is in this picture
付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon · 2026-03-13
#5
Energy price fluctuations can have a more pronounced impact on inflation expectations in situations where the job market shows resilience (e.g., low unemployment, strong job growt…
付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon · 2026-03-13
#6
Liquidity tightening impacts asset markets through both the price channel (P, such as rising financing costs due to interest rate changes, as seen in the rapid interest rate hike…
付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon · 2026-03-12

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