【付鹏说】从AI产业生命周期视角下的恒生科技弱势分析https://t.co/uSNrPfmKuz

付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon ·
【付鹏说】从AI产业生命周期视角下的恒生科技弱势分析https://t.co/uSNrPfmKuz

更多来自 @fupenglondon

  1. #1

    6月24日开始不断飙升的英伟达的信用违约掉期CDS开始被市场注意到，去年年底大家都在讨论的“左手倒右手”的玩法开始被质疑，犹如上周谷歌的资本支出背后关注FCF一样：前几年市场信心十足的时候，花钱（自由现金流下降）意味着抢占未来，而现在反而越是烧钱花钱越是意味着担忧；在前几年市场信心十足的时

    付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon ·
    6月24日开始不断飙升的英伟达的信用违约掉期CDS开始被市场注意到，去年年底大家都在讨论的“左手倒右手”的玩法开始被质疑，犹如上周谷歌的资本支出背后关注FCF…
  2. #2

    【2026.7.8】当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾继续加深的裂痕 这四张比价图非常精准抓住了当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾：狭窄领导（narrow leadership）下的极端市场结构，正在与配置端的悄然调整形成背离； 左图：用整体SPX和其股息贵族指数来用于观察市场的防御/进攻配置 左下图中棕色线（S&P 500

    付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon ·
    【2026.7.8】当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾继续加深的裂痕 这四张比价图非常精准抓住了当前美股最核心的结构性矛盾：狭窄领导（narrow leadershi…
  3. #3

    【2026.5.15】The difference between the implied volatility of 1-month 25-delta put and call options on US tech stocks (i.e., option skewness) has decreased significantly (bottom rig…

    付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon ·
    【2026.5.15】The difference between the implied volatility of 1-month 25-delta pu…【2026.5.15】The difference between the implied volatility of 1-month 25-delta pu…
  4. #4

    【2026.5.15】 In the chart, the blue line represents the ratio of the CBOE S&P 500 Risk Reversal Index (RXM SM Index) to the S&P 500 Index, the brown line represents the Cap…

    付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon ·
    【2026.5.15】 In the chart, the blue line represents the ratio of the CBOE S&…
  5. #5

    Without too much explanation, everything is in this picture

    付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon ·
    Without too much explanation, everything is in this picture
  6. #6

    Energy price fluctuations can have a more pronounced impact on inflation expectations in situations where the job market shows resilience (e.g., low unemployment, strong job growt…

    付鹏的财经世界 @fupenglondon ·
    Energy price fluctuations can have a more pronounced impact on inflation expect…

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